DanGardner

From Forecasting to Superforecasting

The important decisions we make are informed by judgments about how the future will unfold. Sometimes experts help, and sometimes we decide on our own. Either way, these judgments are forecasts. If they are good, our decisions are likely to be good. And if they are bad ... we're in trouble. In this provocative presentation, based on his New York Times bestseller, Dan Gardner explores the style of thinking most likely to deliver accurate forecasts. With effort and practice, we can all become better forecasters. Some of us may even become superforecasters.

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